Akkad at least says straight away that it is clickbait … and yet at the same time … it’s not. He is quoting the Independent which published an Oxford poll in which Trump loses badly. Akkad disagrees for all the right reasons.
He’s a pretty good analyst as a rule and makes the appropriate points IHHO about the poll being wrong here:
While his analysis is sane, especially as Hillary had the big numbers for her in pre-election polls in 2016 and look what happened, and as such numbers might resolve people on the right to go out and vote … I’m not all that sure that legitimacy and sanity will be the operative factors in November.
1. The mailed vote
If the two states with most electors run this mailed vote, plus many others run this scam, there are going to be both apoplectic people as there should be, but there are also going to be TDS people who will ignore all considerations of constitutionality, ethics, integrity just in order to blindly get rid of him.
And it’s the DemRats who usually turn out in force, rather than the disgruntled independent and the right. Tribal.
2. Sheer Dem/elite corruption
The mailed vote is not their only game – the dead vote, massive registration in the states for illegals, intimidation, other trickery such as machines accidentally voting the wrong way … there is a bewildering array of these measures. It happened in 2016 and no one was brought to account for it, except for a slap on the wrist.
3. An event or two
Return of Cv, the economic crash, measures to oppress citizens further. This leads to N4.
4. The gaffe
An example is Red Flag laws. It only needs the Donald to make a few more errors under advice – Fauci was one suggested by Pence – and things could get wonky. And the debates?
5. The Electoral College
The electors need convincing. How do they currently see the situation? Tied in with the gaffe, what if they privately think no way Trump after what he said on X, Y, Z?
6. Betrayal from within
Ties in with the Electoral College. They set him up.
Just that. He’s not young.
8. Totally unexpected event
Assassination attempt, the world elite ready to pounce and close everything, Cv stopping people going out to vote, any of these things.
I’d not be putting my money on him just yet.